Bayesian Analysis

A Bayesian Networks Approach to Reliability Analysis of a Launch Vehicle Liquid Propellant Engine

This paper presents an extension of Bayesian networks (BN) applied to reliability analysis of an open gas generator cycle Liquid propellant engine (OGLE) of launch vehicles. There are several methods for system reliability analysis such as RBD, FTA, FMEA, Markov Chains, and etc. But for complex systems such as LV, they are not all efficiently applicable due to failure dependencies between compo...

Bayesian and Iterative Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Coefficients in Logistic Regression Analysis with Linked Data

This paper considers logistic regression analysis with linked data. It is shown that, in logistic regression analysis with linked data, a finite mixture of Bernoulli distributions can be used for modeling the response variables. We proposed an iterative maximum likelihood estimator for the regression coefficients that takes the matching probabilities into account. Next, the Bayesian counterpart...

Risk Analysis of Operating Room Using the Fuzzy Bayesian Network Model

To enhance Patient’s safety, we need effective methods for risk management. This work aims to propose an integrated approach to risk management for a hospital system. To improve patient’s safety, we should develop flexible methods where different aspects of risk and type of information are taken into consideration. This paper proposes a fuzzy Bayesian network to model and analyze risk in the op...

Estimation of Products Final Price Using Bayesian Analysis Generalized Poisson Model and Artificial Neural Networks

Estimating the final price of products is of great importance. For manufacturing companies proposing a final price is only possible after the design process over. These companies propose an approximate initial price of the required products to the customers for which some of time and money is required. Here using the existing data of already designed transformers and utilizing the bayesian anal...

Bayesian Analysis of Survival Data with Spatial Correlation

Often in practice the data on the mortality of a living unit correlation is due to the location of the observations in the study‎. ‎One of the most important issues in the analysis of survival data with spatial dependence‎, ‎is estimation of the parameters and prediction of the unknown values in known sites based on observations vector‎. ‎In this paper to analyze this type of survival‎, ‎Cox...

Bayesian Prediction in Spatial Data Analysis